25 Jun · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1483
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H63-81
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.