25 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1474
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Plachy
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H38-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.