25 Jun · 04:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Postelt
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1576
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+103
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)