26 Jun · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1397
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1444
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+47
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.