26 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1444
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Levicky
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1430
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.