26 Jun · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1528
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oborny
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1447
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Oborny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+81
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.