25 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1454
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jungman
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jungman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.