26 Jun · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1409
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mazanek
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1397
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.