25 Jun · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Just
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1572
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Just
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)