25 Jun Β· 21:30 MESZMedium Β· Model Lean
MK
π¨πΏMichal Kratochvil
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wolf
FW
π¨πΏFilip Wolf
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
πKratochvil rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds Β· Wolf
Model 56% Β· 1.79vsMarket 38% Β· 2.67Β· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+114
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? Β· 2 reasons
- βHigher Elo rating (+114)
- βBetter recent form (3-2)