25 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kycelt
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1668
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kycelt
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.