25 Jun · 07:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1389
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nikolenko
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1384
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Nikolenko stays under total as favourite 81% (21)
Fair odds · Nikolenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.