25 Jun · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1593
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slozka
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1574
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Pohonov covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.