25 Jun · 08:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1441
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1538
FormLWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)