25 Jun · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1450
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Snizek
MC
🇺🇦Miroslav Cervenka
ELO 1342
FormLWLWL
61%
39%
🌟Cervenka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)