25 Jun · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1405
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shcherbak
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1384
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.