25 Jun · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1463
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Holub
JV
🇺🇦Jan Vrnak
ELO 1391
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H21-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-13)