25 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VR
🇺🇦Valerii Romanenko
ELO 1314
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Romanenko
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1310
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Romanenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.