24 Jun · 06:00 UTCElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1393
FormLWWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1613
FormWWLLW
24%
76%
Fair value · Lebek
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
27%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+220
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)