24 Jun · 06:00 UTCHigh · Clear Favorite
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1503
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1584
FormWWLLL
39%
61%
Fair value · Poliniewicz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)