24 Jun Β· 05:35 UTCLow Β· Slight Edge
DJ
π΅π±Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1451
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
PP
π΅π±Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1477
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair value Β· Przewlocki
Model 53% Β· 1.89vsMarket 59% Β· 1.69Β· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.