24 Jun · 05:35 UTCLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1536
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kosmal
MU
🇵🇱Mateusz Ufnal
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair value · Kosmal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.