24 Jun · 06:30 UTCMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1491
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lilien
AG
🇵🇱Artur Gromek
ELO 1437
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair value · Lilien
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 37% · 2.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)