24 Jun · 06:25 UTCLow · Slight Edge
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1593
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1618
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
Fair value · Gumulinski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.