26 Jun Β· 11:00 MESZ Β· πΈ Italian Open WomenLow Β· Slight Edge
FR
π²π»Fathimath Abdul Razzaq
ELO 1509
FormLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Razzaq
VG
π²π©Vlada Ginga
ELO 1501
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds Β· Razzaq
Model 52% Β· 1.92vsMarket 6% Β· 15.85Β· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav β1.5 26%Total ~90 pts
2-0
26%
2-1
26%
1-2
24%
0-2
24%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.