26 Jun · 13:35 MESZ · 🏸 Italian Open WomenLow · Coin Flip
SF
🇮🇪Siofra Flynn
ELO 1501
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Flynn
AR
🏸Aminath Abdul Razzaq
ELO 1500
50%
50%
Fair odds · Flynn
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 25%Total ~90 pts
2-0
25%
2-1
25%
1-2
25%
0-2
25%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.