27 Jun · 01:40 MESZ · 🏸 US Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇮🇳Devika Sihag
ELO 1511
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gunji
RG
🇯🇵Riko Gunji
ELO 1545
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Gunji
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~89 pts
0-2
31%
1-2
27%
2-1
22%
2-0
20%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.