27 Jun · 01:50 MESZ · 🏸 US Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
KN
🇧🇬Kaloyana Nalbantova
ELO 1525
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nalbantova
SS
🇹🇼Shuo Yun Sung
ELO 1501
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Nalbantova
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 29%Total ~90 pts
2-0
29%
2-1
27%
1-2
23%
0-2
21%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.