27 Jun · 02:30 MESZ · 🏸 US OpenLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇹🇼Jhuo-Fu Liao
ELO 1488
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kidambi
SK
🇮🇳Srikanth Kidambi
ELO 1499
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kidambi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 27%Total ~90 pts
0-2
27%
1-2
26%
2-1
24%
2-0
23%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.