27 Jun · 01:40 MESZ · 🏸 US OpenLow · Slight Edge
BY
🇨🇦Brian Yang
ELO 1495
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Yang
SY
🇹🇼Su Li Yang
ELO 1503
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Yang
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 26%Total ~90 pts
0-2
26%
1-2
26%
2-1
24%
2-0
24%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.