27 Jun · 10:15 MESZ · 🏸 Italian OpenLow · Coin Flip
KR
🇩🇰Karan Rajan Rajarajan
ELO 1498
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rajarajan
KN
🇦🇹Kai Niederhuber
ELO 1493
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Rajarajan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 26%Total ~90 pts
2-0
26%
2-1
25%
1-2
25%
0-2
24%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.