28 Jun · 09:20 MESZ · 🏸 Italian OpenLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇩🇰Victor Ording Kauffmann
ELO 1536
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vasudevan
SV
🇩🇪Sanjeevi Padmanabhan Vasudevan
ELO 1538
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vasudevan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 31% · 3.18· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 25%Total ~90 pts
0-2
25%
1-2
25%
2-1
25%
2-0
25%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.