1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇮🇱Misha Zilberman
ELO 1516
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zilberman
KK
🇫🇮Kalle Koljonen
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Zilberman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~89 pts
2-0
31%
2-1
27%
1-2
22%
0-2
20%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.