1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇩🇰Magnus Johannesen
ELO 1493
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wang
YW
🇹🇼Yu-Kai Wang
ELO 1524
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Wang
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 30%Total ~89 pts
0-2
30%
1-2
27%
2-1
22%
2-0
20%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.