1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇹🇼Su Li Yang
ELO 1546
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Yang
AD
🇭🇷Aria Dinata
ELO 1539
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Yang
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 26%Total ~90 pts
2-0
26%
2-1
26%
1-2
24%
0-2
24%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.