1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenMedium · Model Lean
SO
🇯🇵Shogo Ogawa
ELO 1500
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ogawa
BY
🇨🇦Brian Yang
ELO 1475
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ogawa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 29%Total ~90 pts
2-0
29%
2-1
27%
1-2
23%
0-2
21%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.