30 Jun · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open QualLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇮🇹Fabio Caponio
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Huan
KH
🇲🇾Kai Hern Huan
ELO 1493
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Huan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 27%Total ~90 pts
0-2
27%
1-2
26%
2-1
24%
2-0
23%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.