30 Jun · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open QualHigh · Clear Favorite
TL
🇨🇦Timothy Lock
ELO 1453
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Hatano
RH
🇯🇵Riku Hatano
ELO 1511
FormLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Hatano
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 94% · 1.07· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~89 pts
0-2
35%
1-2
29%
2-1
20%
2-0
17%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-1)