30 Jun · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open QualLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇩🇪Matthias Kicklitz
ELO 1495
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gullaiya
SG
🇨🇦Shaurya Gullaiya
ELO 1500
FormLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Gullaiya
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 21% · 4.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 26%Total ~90 pts
0-2
26%
1-2
25%
2-1
25%
2-0
24%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.