30 Jun · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open QualLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇲🇾Jing Hong Kok
ELO 1494
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Takahashi
KT
🇯🇵Koo Takahashi
ELO 1501
FormLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Takahashi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 26%Total ~90 pts
0-2
26%
1-2
26%
2-1
24%
2-0
24%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.