1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇦Michelle Li
ELO 1527
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Li
AK
🇮🇳Anmol Kharb
ELO 1505
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Li
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 29%Total ~90 pts
2-0
29%
2-1
27%
1-2
23%
0-2
22%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.