1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open WomenLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇰🇷Min Ji Kim
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zhang
BZ
🇺🇸Beiwen Zhang
ELO 1492
FormLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zhang
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 25%Total ~90 pts
0-2
25%
1-2
25%
2-1
25%
2-0
25%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.