1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
CT
🇹🇼Ciou-Tong Tung
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sihag
DS
🇮🇳Devika Sihag
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Sihag
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 30%Total ~89 pts
0-2
30%
1-2
27%
2-1
22%
2-0
20%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.