1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
IJ
🇺🇸Ishika Jaiswal
ELO 1482
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Peng
YP
🇹🇼Yu Wei Peng
ELO 1515
FormLWLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Peng
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~89 pts
0-2
31%
1-2
27%
2-1
22%
2-0
20%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.