30 Jun · 16:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open QualMedium · Model Lean
EW
🇨🇦Eason Wong
ELO 1500
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wong
IW
🇨🇦Imran Wadia
ELO 1489
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wong
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 16% · 6.40· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 28%Total ~84 pts
2-0
28%
2-1
27%
1-2
23%
0-2
22%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.