30 Jun · 16:40 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open QualLow · Coin Flip
ST
🇨🇦Saket Thavanani
ELO 1500
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Takahashi
KT
🇯🇵Koo Takahashi
ELO 1501
FormLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Takahashi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 96% · 1.04· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 25%Total ~84 pts
0-2
25%
1-2
25%
2-1
25%
2-0
25%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.