1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇮🇳Tanya Hemanth
ELO 1469
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gupta
DG
🇺🇸Disha Gupta
ELO 1489
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Gupta
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 14% · 6.91· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
28%
1-2
16%
2-1
12%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.