1 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenElite · Strong Favorite
RH
🇯🇵Riku Hatano
ELO 1528
FormWWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Hatano
MA
🇺🇸Mark Shelley Alcala
ELO 1480
FormLWLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Hatano
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~84 pts
2-0
53%
0-2
21%
2-1
19%
1-2
8%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)