2 Jul · 01:20 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenLow · Slight Edge
ER
🇫🇷Enogat Roy
ELO 1534
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Roy
YW
🇹🇼Yu-Kai Wang
ELO 1524
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Roy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 28% · 3.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.