2 Jul · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇩🇰Ditlev Jaeger Holm
ELO 1512
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wang
PW
🇹🇼Po-Wei Wang
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Wang
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
0-2
39%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.